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US pushes to end insurgency in Iraq – can this war be won with military? Are Iraqi expatriates the root cause of all trouble?
U.S. military officials claimed some 50 insurgents were killed and 100 captured in ongoing operations in northwest Iraq on June 18. Operation Spear and Operation Dagger were launched on June 17 in response to increased insurgent activity in Anbar province. The operations are shifting their focus to uncovering weapons caches after intense fighting on June 17.
But can this war be ever won with military action? Experts and global think tanks differ in their opinion. History says no insurgency ever stopped in modern times if common people are behind the movement. The authoritative rule of communists in East Europe also failed because people of East Europe never really liked it. However, the insurgency and presence of coalition forces in Iraq can continue for decades. Eventually people of Iraq will determine what they really want.
One possibility is that America may come out a complete winner by showing Iraqis contemporary democracy and modern way of living. Iraq is an oil rich country. The potential is huge. If America is successful in this experiment, every Iraqi can live a moderately high standard of living. Some educated Iraqis understand that and that is why they support the coalition forces. In Iraq, other than Saddam’s enemies, no one liked the way he was overthrown especially tricking the world and UN into a meaningless war. But that can be treated as a lesson for small nation dictators. But Iraqis want better way of living. Iraqi women are most educated and modern in the Middle East. That is true for decades. Iraq, when the real freedom is achieved, can show the world especially middle east the way an oil rich democratic country can live.
Again, it will be the people of Iraq that will determine the outcome of the current struggle.
One solution that America and coalition partners may consider is to quickly get rid of the Iraqi expatriates who are hated in Iraq. These expatriates are reigning in Baghdad now. The perception in the main street of Baghdad is that these expatriates brought foreign troops to loot the country.
If the expatriates are gone or given a back seat, the people of Iraq will slowly feel comfortable with the new democracy. At that point insurgency will have a real tough time. Another shrewd strategy will be to announce a troops withdrawal plan and leaving Iraq to its people without Saddam’s enemies and those strange expatriates. That will really make the day for Iraq and America. The insurgency in that case will have little support if any.
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