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Worldwide oil recession deepens: Oil watchdog cuts demand forecasts – a typical syndrome of bear marlet persists
Joe Weinman
Jun. 29, 2009

The signs of deepening worldwide recession is very clear. The International Energy Agency predicted a severe worldwode recession on Monday as it cut sharply its forecasts for world consumption of oil and gas. The agency declared that the threat of a supply crunch does not exist any more.

A typical bear market syncrome persists. Overlooking the long term bear market indicators, the market focused on the short term signals as the same agency upped its forecast for global oil demand for the first time in almost a year. The agency indicated that in the short term because of worldwide stimulus money, the oil and gas market is looking brighter for better demand. The oil jumped more than $73 a barrel on the news overlooking the long term deep bearish indicator.

This is typical of long term bear markets where counter trend rallies can be sharp folowing short term bullish news.



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