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The mega oil bear market signals a wake up call for bulls in Wall Street and real estate corners of the country
Fred Day
Jul. 10, 2008

The demand of US gasoline is at five year low. The demand supply equations and analytic as well a quantitative model clearly show a total collapse of oil market right now. Oil can fall relentlessly going below $70 a barrel within three months.

That is a wake up calls for hibernating bulls in the stock market. There are clear signs of a possible rebound in US Dollar. A stable dollar with lower energy demand can drive the economy higher as crude oil price falls apart faster than ever before.

The geopolitical saber rattling by Iran can be shorter than many oil analysts have imagined. Iranians are smatter than the Iraqis. They will succumb much faster keeping their regime alive. They do not want confrontation and therefore they will come to table as US and other western countries show their strength.

Wall street and real estate corners of the main street are receiving its wake up call. A stringer dollar, lower precious metals and commodities (except the softs), lower treasury yields will pull both the stock market and the real estate market higher.


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