Stocks, dollar, real estate bullish intermediate term – commodities, gold, metals, energy and bonds bearish
Karen Zuba
Mar. 18, 2008

The intermediate term cycle tops are quiet. It was no different this time. Normally fundamentals quietly change, sentiment in the crowd favors further swing on the same direction, and the markets change slowly but with clear conviction.

School children since last month started asking their teachers, parents and relatives – how to buy gold. That is the top in gold market intermediate term.

In the next six to none months, stocks will soar, dollar will explode on the upside, gold and oil will collapse.

The fundamentals changed last Friday when Federal Reserve drew the line on the sand and said enough is enough.

Look for gold below $600 an ounce by end of the year. Look for stocks testing 14,000 is Dow again. The biggest surprise is stored in US Dollar. The dollar can appreciate a sharp 20% in the next nine months as long bonds decline 20% in value.

The rate cut by Fed is over. Neither McCain nor Obama will engage in ruthless spending like that of Bush Administration. Budget deficit will shrink sharply because of sensible spending. That is bearish for gold and bullish for US Dollar. The Dollar market may have bottomed. It may be starting a ten year fabulous bull market that can eventually take dollar index to 200 from 72 today.

America will again prove that it is a genuine superpower with world strongest currency, most talented workforce, and strongest military might.

Stocks, dollar, real estate bullish intermediate term – commodities, gold, metals, energy and bonds bearish
Karen Zuba
Neither McCain nor Obama will engage in ruthless spending like that of Bush Administration. America will again prove that it is a genuine superpower with world strongest currency, most talented workforce, and strongest military might.
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The market will get a shock of the day as Fed will cut rate less than expected by the market and may signal that these rate cuts are in the process of ending.

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Markets move in cycles. The technical scenario in gold has turned bearish with severe momentum divergences. A sharp rally in US Dollar and a crash in gold and other precious metals markets are imminent.
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