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Home resales fell in December to lowest in twenty years – the housing depressing is nastier than worst real estate bear can think of – but is the bottom in sight?
The home resales data will show the lowest home sales ever. Purchases fell 1.3 percent last month to a 4.82 million rate, the fewest since comparable records began in 1999. According to some residential real estate analysts, the data shows real estate depression has reached levels never seen before since the time of Great Depression.
However, whenever there is a cataclysmic sell off in any investment asset type. A local bottom shows up. Some real estate bears that started predicting real estate bear market three years back during the bubble time under Alan Greensopan are now turning bullish for the short term. According to them it is possible that the $150 billion stimulus package will go directly to homebuyers to influence them to gram a decent home for their residence. That can help home prices and stabilize the residential real estate prices from an ongoing free fall.
However, real estate is not like stock market. It is a bigger ship that takes a considerable time to turn its direction. The boom is housing market may come much later or may not even come ever in the next thirty years.
According to some analysts, some thing interesting is going to happen in the next several months. The shortage of materials will force builders to stop building. The prices of lumber and other materials can quadruple over the next several months. The new home prices may go up sharply with fewer inventories in the market. At the same time the older homes can continue its free fall taking the economy with it.
SMART LIVING & INVST. ARTICLES
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