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Lower ethanol prices depressed the gasoline prices in spite of $82 per barrel of oil – things can change abruptly
Peter Oberois
Oct. 1, 2007

The ethanol producers are going bankrupt. Higher corn prices (because the whole grain complex is going up) and lower ethanol prices are killing the ethanol manufacturers that depend on corn. The lower ethanol prices helped the economy because the gasoline prices stayed depressed because of a glut of ethanol all around of us.

As ethanol producers go belly up, the supply reduces, three things will happen. First, the ethanol price will go up. So will gasoline price compared to crude oil. Lastly, Sugar 11 (the international sugar) will also jump as worldwide ethanol prices go up.

The sugar market is showing bullish patterns. The rise is sugar prices will trigger in even higher corn prices. If the ethanol producers can hang on, they will be rewarded next year when most likely ethanol, sugar and gasoline will all double in price.



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