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A lower Housing Starts number this week will point to continuing trouble in residential real estate but analytics point to recovery in new home sector – buy homebuilders?
Kirsten McLauren
Jul. 15, 2007

A slight drop in the housing starts number is expected to point to continuing slack in new homes sales. However, the technical charts and the analytics point to a possible bottoming pattern in the new homes inventory and a possible rise in demand.

Bear markets do not traverse in a straight line downwards. Sometimes a sharp rally can occur. This is the time when the homebuilder stocks can snap the downtrend and rally fabulously. The recovery in lumber and copper prices provide some confirmation.

A lower Housing Starts number this week will point to continuing trouble in residential real estate but that even should be used to buy homebuilder stocks and ETFs. If you are in the new home market, time may be bright to take all those incentive and get into bargain deal with the builder of your choice.



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