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The rally in gold and oil signal higher inflation but the drop in retail sales manifest start of recession – the bubbly stock market says who cares
Susan Hicks
Jul. 14, 2007

The stock market bubble is no different than the real estate bubble a few years ago. The fall out will be no different. Some interesting signals confirm that theory in the background. The rally in gold and oil signals higher inflation. The drop in US dollar index also signals inflation, eventual higher budget, and trade deficit. The lack luster business and consumer confidences, and most importantly the serious problems in the retail sales point to a possible recession.

But in the middle of all these, the stock market finally said – who cares, take the liquidity and run for the upside. It is a typical mood during the maturing process of a bubble. The analytics point to very strong rallies in stock market before the bear market starts at the end of the summer.



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