Analytics suggest, against all odds, that US Dollar is ready to rally forcefully in spite of Fed’s lower rates in the next several months – how is that possible?
Pamela Jones
Jul. 4, 2007

The US dollar is badly beat up. The whole world is bearish on US dollar. The only currency that is performing worse than US dollar is Yen. But analytical models and stochastic analysis point to something very interesting. The quantitative models that take into account the sentiment indicators, fundamentals, and technical charts patter point to an intermediate to long-term bottom in US Dollar and Japanese Yen.

The question arises before going long in US dollar; we need to ask what is fundamentally changing that makes US Dollar so attractive in 2008 and 2009.

The US trade deficit can narrow very sharply in the next several years. The currency markets sense that way before and make their move before fundamental driven investors get a chance to take advantage of changing situations.

The bio-fuel sector is expected to boom with record corn and wheat production in America. That can be very bullish for US Dollar.

The weakness in the US economy will affect Asian and European companies more that of Americas. When all are taken into consideration, it makes sense that analytics point to a possible contraire approach. US Dollar looks bullish here.

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