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Sentiment indicators express first alarm for the stock market – the long-term top is in place
Peter Oberois
Jul. 1, 2007

The stock market analytics turned bearish. The main reason behind the shift is the sentiment indicator. The sentiment indicator that contributes 30% to the analytic model turned bearish because the percent of common public to professional market traders reached a threshold point.

The stock market is now in the long term bear market mode. This is the first time the market turned bearish since 1982. The great bull market of twenty-five tears (longest and most fabulous expansion) will be remembered for decades and centuries to come.

This is not the end of the human civilization, but the financial markets as we know them today will change and we will go through some difficult times.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average has started falling slowly. The market can fall to 11,000 in Dow Jones Industrial Average slowly. The economic environment now is similar to 1972 through 1982. Stagflation crippled the economy. The Dow at that time basically stayed around 1000 and the inflation was high. In real terms Dow actually fell significantly during that time. Please note that back in those days, budget deficit and trade deficit were nothing compares to what they are today. Also note, the social security was healthy and not delinquent based on projections.



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