Lower consumer confidence and sentiment numbers will manifest slowing economy
Peter oberois
Jun. 24, 2007

The stock market is showing signs of a well-developed long-term elliptic top. That means the start of a meltdown may have started. The consumer confidence and consumer sentiment numbers out this week will point to weakening consumer buying effected by higher interest rates, higher gas prices, lower home prices, and worsening job market in the higher end for jobs that can pay decent mortgages.

The consumers contribute close to 70% of the economic growth. A collapse in the confidence index points to the underlying weakness in the economy. The sentiment index weakness points to the possibility of severe recession in the economy.

The stock market is getting down to the earth, as it understands what is really going on in the main street. Middle class folks are tired of borrowing and paying into the inefficiencies of the economy.

The effect can be devastating for the stock market. If long rates rise because of commodity inflation and wage inflation in Asia, the stocks will really collapse.

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