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One more new high and stock market is ready for a collapse – higher interest rate, stagflation, oil, food, and lack of corporate pricing power
Sam Adelton
Jun. 20, 2007
The S&P 500 corporate earnings topped out in the summer of last year. As commodity and wage inflation took over, the corporations today faces higher interest rate, stagflation, energy price, war material price, and lack of corporate pricing power. The stagnation in the economy and lack of real well paid jobs are making it very difficult to increase the price of the finished goods. But in the mean time commodity inflation is going through the roof. The oil, grains, softs, meat, metals are all rising in prices very fast.
The stock market is real vulnerable. The bond market is making a counter trend move to diffuse the oversold condition. Soon it will test the high in yields. The yields in the ten-year note can soon rise to 6%. The stock market is showing sufficient resilience – typical; at the end of the bull market.
After a new high around 14100, Dow Jones Industrial will collapse and end the year close to 11,000.
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