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Yen ready for explosive move on the upside – the carry trade bears are done selling, as Bank of Japan gets ready to hike rates
Karen Zuba
Jun. 17, 2007
Bank of Japan is quietly preparing for a Japanese rate hike. The carry trade folks selling yen is now concerned about the same. The Japanese economy is performing far better than the rest of the world. The consumer and businesses are still skittish, but that is normal in a new recovery after 20 years of severe deflation. Japanese interest rates can top 2% by middle 2008. That will create the scenario for Yen to appreciate 20-30% from where it is today.
The US bond market route provides a nice opportunity to go long on Yen. The Yen is making something called final throw after a triangle formation on the down side. These patterns happen at the end of major bear markets and start of multi-year null markets.
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