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Metals and oil show sign of global slowdown – stock markets worldwide can fall in excess of 40% over next three years
Bernie Snyder
Jun. 17, 2007

While stock markets worldwide is poised for a major collapse. The emerging markets will undergo a 1929-33 style total collapse. But that will a correction a very long-term perspective. The markets in the developed world is in cyclical up trend within a secular bear market since 1987.

When you compare stock prices as a ratio of gold price, in other words how much gold is needed to buy one unit of S&P 500 index, the picture is very clear. The stock market in the western world topped out in 1987. After that a long-term topping action is unfolding over the last twenty years.

Metals and oil prices have stagnated. While demand is from China and India, the supply is overwhelming the demand. A global slowdown is in the happening while bond market is focused on global higher inflation. The problem is the world is experience super high stagflation. The inflation is rampant compared to growth. That is giving rise to lower real return on stocks and bonds.



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