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Home sales rebounding nicely as manifested by the Home Resale Pending data – real estate in a cyclical bull market within a secular bear market
Alan Hershey
Apr. 2, 2007

The surprising bounce back in the Home Resale Pending data manifests the nice rebound in real estate. The residential and commercial real estate is bouncing back buoyed by the extra liquidity in the system.

The unchanged Home Resales Pending data shows the real estate debacle is bottoming out for the time being. The new construction is also rebounding in the same way the UK market did last year. The pessimism in real estate went so high that a cyclical bull market within a secular bear market has formed.

Home prices as a matter of fact can rebound very nicely and the median home prices actually rise 4.5% by end of the year. The long-term bear market is not over though. The new cyclical bull market can stay alive for months and even years. Eventually real estate will crash by end of 2010.



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