Iran factor can take oil to $100 and then $40 but Dow is on course to 10,000
Sam Adelton
Mar. 29, 2007

A geopolitical showdown is imminent in Persian Gulf. The oil market is reaching a temporary high on war premium. If the sailors are returned to the UK officials, oil will fall to below $30 a barrel.

The demand is weakening and the supply is abundant. The war premium and hedge funds’ concerted efforts have taken the oil price to high. But sooner or later oil will collapse because of lack of demand and abundance of supplies.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average has decouples with oil price. It is rallying with oil. Simply put if oil does up, it confirms growth and demand. The stock market reacts positively with higher oil because the worry of recession is high.

According to analytics, anything can happen to oil. But Dow is destined to go below 10,000.

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