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An excellent opportunity to buy Yen and sell equities as Asian stock rally spurs carry trades
Marla Guthrie
Mar. 9, 2007
The yen and the world stock markets including that of UK and US are moving in opposite direction. The depressed Yen has helped the world stock markets for many years. This is changing fast. The Yen is undervalued by 70%. Yen can go up 70% and stock markets worldwide can collapse 70 to 80%.
An excellent opportunity is here to buy Yen and sell equities as Asian stock rally spurs carry trades. Currently the Yen is in a short down trend as Stocks recover somewhat after shoulder-head-shoulder formation.
The Yen represents the strongest economy based on the trade balance data. As Bank of Japan faced deflation because of heavy debt, it lowered Yen by selling Yen and buying dollar in open market in a coordinated way for more than two decades.
Yen’s artificial weakness was great for the stock markets. Bank of Japan bought Dollar and sold Yen for a long time. That entire Dollar went into buying US Bonds and Notes. That helped keeping the interest rates low. That in turn helped the real estate market and the stock market. The economy boomed although the prosperity was unevenly distributed. It is normal in false booms that we witnessed in the last sixteen years.
Now Yen is spurring back to its real values. And, that is real bearish for stock markets. Longer term Yen will get very strong and the stock markets as well as real estate market will get real bad.
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