Do not expect a crashing economy or stock market – it will be steady slide for decades till the deficit and balance of payment situation improve
Marla Guthrie
Feb. 25, 2007

The economy will move in two-step backward and one step forward. It will crash or go down into recession like seen many years back. The traditional concept of recession and boom is over, we have entered a prolonged session of deflation, financial and fiscal corrections all over the world.

The biggest drag on the economy is the deficit. The borrow and spend culture will be challenged and the economy will slowly go downwards for decades in a very slow pace. The economy is actually in a very long downward cycle. In the last 120 years, it was in steady rise mode. Occasionally there was a recession followed by sharp growth again. It is different now. The fall will be steady but almost never-ending – typical long-term bear market.

The private and public debt load root cause of deflation and economic recession – Greenspan warns
Peter Oberois
The budget deficit is the biggest concern. The debt of people on their homes, cars and credit cards – when all added up creates the recipe for the disaster.
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Do not expect a crashing economy or stock market – it will be steady slide for decades till the deficit and balance of payment situation improve
Marla Guthrie
It is different now. The fall will be steady but almost never-ending – typical long-term bear market.
READ MORE>>

A crashing drop of 3% in durable goods order will reflect the business sentiment – the small businesses are giving up hopes
Peter Oberois
The small business spirit is down as deflation takes over the driver’s seat from stagflation.
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The stealth deflation is still able to hide its effect on the economy – the data this week will be lackluster but stock markets will fall
Sam Adelton
The fall of the market will most likely be benign now. The real volatility will show up in April. After a final rally in the summer, the stock markets around the world say good-bye to bull for a long time.
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It is called white gold – it will shine better and will prove to be world’s most wanted commodity
Sam Adelton
The production is on the rise. Right now the prices are depressed. But the demand outpaces supply by a ration 10 to 1. This means sugar prices can rise fifteen times from where it is today in the next ten years.
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Financial services sector and banks leading the deflation driven depression with real estate collapse
Peter Oberois
The stock market quietly topped out like in 1929 and 1987. The financial stocks and banks are leading the worst nightmare of deflation driven depression.
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Crude oil can finally spike one last time before collapsing below $40a barrel – where did crude bulls go wrong?
Karen Gonzalves
Indians, Chinese, Brazilians and Americans will have start thinking of saving again and paying off their huge debt. Where is economy that can support $100 a barrel crude?
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