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A reversal in Factory Orders data will pull bond yields and dollar exchange rates up
Marla Guthrie
Dec. 31, 2006

On January 4th, at 10 AM, the Factory orders data will manifest a big reversal. The last data saw a slump – a -4.7% drop. This one will show a 1.4% jump. The big reversal will bring confidence back among investors and the fed.

Net effect of that is that Fed will stay put. The short term interest rate lowering may not take place.

The bonds will fall and dollar rally on the news. The stock market is closely watching the long bond yields. After an initial jump it will sink with the bond market. The gold is also inversely coupled with the long term rates at this stage.

A reversal in Factory Orders data will pull bond yields and dollar exchange rates up.


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