Construction spending increased signaling a temporary cyclical boom in real estate within a massive secular bear market
Sam Adelton
Dec. 31, 2006

At 10 Am on January 3, 2007, construction-spending data will show the real estate market is stabilizing and getting ready for a fantastic rally in 2007 between March and September. The construction spending improved from –1.0% to –0.50%. When you analyze it coupled with the last new home sales figures, it becomes clear that real estate is ready for some sort of an upturn in the short run.

That will turn everyone bullish again and people will start flipping homes with short term gains. That is essential for the continuation of the new multi-decade secular bear market. Some analysts are predicting money will come out from the stock market and fuel the real estate rally.

Construction spending increased signaling a temporary cyclical boom in real estate within a massive secular bear market
Sam Adelton
When you analyze it coupled with the last new home sales figures, it becomes clear that real estate is ready for some sort of an upturn in the short run.
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Business services, education and health services, and leisure and hospitality saw the most job growth – real estate and manufacturing losing jobs
Alan Hershey
The million-dollar question is will manufacturing sector, business infrastructure investments and real estate turn around to compensate for the slack. If they do, we will see a soft landing. Otherwise we are headed for a deep recession.
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Skyrocketing long bond rates will cause collapse in real estate, gold and stocks
Fred Day
No one is expecting ten years note to yield 10% by end of 2007. But the long term chart patterns manifest that it is very possible. What will happen then?
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A nasty pattern says long bond yield can skyrocket in 2007-2009 time frame
Sam Adelton
If long term rates are going to skyrocket, dollar will get the necessary help and at the same time it will be severely bearish for stocks and gold.
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Chinese central bank rejects Western pressures on yuan revaluation and focuses on currency stability to maintain fast Chinese growth
Peter Oberois
The problem can be more serious that illegal aliens in United States. It is costing jobs, lowered standard of living and prosperity in general for hard working American citizens and legal residents.
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Financial services companies trying to get patent protection to preserve their dominance – another sign for financial troubled time
Marla Guthrie
In late eighties Japanese financial institutions did the same. They rushed for intellectual property matter protection at the end of the bull market when Nikkei was well above 40,000.
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Copper stockpile cycles indicate collapse in copper prices and start of global depression
Sam Adelton
The stockpiles go low during the economic boom and go high during the economic slowdown. The cyclic behavior of copper stockpile and the price show that economic recession or depression may be very near.
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Steve Job’s corporate governance scandal is a signal of board level corruption and greed in major corporations
Peter Oberois
It is not just Apple. When the rug is lifted you will find the whole corporate world is infested with ‘Enron style’ corporate governance and the Wall Street is riding these on the ‘High’.
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