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Insider stock sales surges to highest since 1987 stock market crash – Dow can tumble 2000 points in a month
Fred Day
Dec. 6, 2006

Another danger signal flashed across the board. Insider stock sales have surged to the highest levels ever seen since 1987 stock market crash. Insiders and corporate executives have clearer idea of the fundamentals in their company. When they decide sell the stock while the crowd keep buying them, it shows the existence of a major bubble. In every case eventually the bubble has busted. The bust after the boom takes the stock market down on an average 26% in two to three years. The last one was a major correction within a massive secular bull market of 1982-2000.

If history will repeat, the Dow can be in the 7500 area by early 2008. The bear market will probably start in the first or second quarter in 2007. It will depend on when dollar foes into a bull market and breaches the 90 level in terms of dollar index.

Interestingly, Bill Gates of Microsoft and Google's Schmidt led insider stock sales last month.


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