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US stock market ahead of US Dollar market by two years – extremely bullish for dollar and bearish for gold
Fred Day
Dec. 5, 2006

If you take the monthly long-term charts in the last twenty years of US Stock market and US Dollar, you can see an interesting time lag. The dollar has done exactly what stock market has done but two years later. The same was true before twenty years but the lag was close to three years. Perhaps communication and technical economy has compressed the time lag.

If that repeats, it is very bullish for US Dollar. The stock market bottomed out the end of 2002. The US Dollar bottomed out at the end of 2004. Since then stock have rallied 75%. If dollar rallies from here 75%, the dollar index in two years will stand above 120. The proportion of price movement in dollar and stock are not equal or proportional. The general trend is there with the time lag. The recent drop in dollar has created a huge negative sentiment in US Dollar. That is also bullish.


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