Chicago purchasing managers'' report will show a sharp decline – a long-term negative for the economy
Marla Guthrie
Oct. 31, 2006

The Chicago PMI expected to come at 58 down from 62.1 last month. The trend is downwards and the effects are clear from auto and housing sectors.

The regional indices like these sometime predict early recession. The purchasing managers'' reports are measured like the national NAPM - 50% marks the breakeven line between an expanding and contracting manufacturing sector. Based on that the economy is still expanding but the momentum is sharply down.

Inflation adjusted (gold price normalized) growth is very negative. In that sense stagflation has gripped the economy like never before.

The jump in Conference Board Consumer Confidence shows temporary cheer in the mind of people on gas prices and stock market
Ratan Sen
The jump in Conference Board Consumer Confidence is interesting. People are relived at what they see in gas stations. They are happy to see the Dow going up steadily.
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Chicago purchasing managers' report will show a sharp decline – a long-term negative for the economy
Marla Guthrie
The Chicago PMI expected to come at 58 down from 62.1 last month. The trend is downwards and the effects are clear from auto and housing sectors....
READ MORE>>

Employment Cost Index will show deceleration is rise – another sign of underemployment driven stagflation
Alan Hersey
The most prominent signs of stagflation comes from the inadequate rise in wages while employment is kept at a very level. That is exactly what is happening now.
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Online news sites and blogs replacing US Newspapers, radio and TV stations – the decline is sharp and severe....
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Momentum indicators point to a sharp drop in Dow in coming months – common people with little experience will lose again
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The auto sector crashing downward – real estate to follow the same pattern affecting the economy like never before
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The reason behind the total collapse is what the American auto makers did just after nine-eleven terror attacks.
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Incomes rose more than forecast in September but a silent stealth indicator says something is wrong
Marla Guthrie
Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation decelerated while income rose more than expected. The savings rate improved to minus 0.2 percent, the best since May 2005, from minus 0.5 percent in August.
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Crude oil bear market continues and supplies far exceeds demand in underemployed economies
Alan Hershey
The underemployment and stagflation are crippling the buying powers in the economies. The slump in oil price is just a manifestation of the same.
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