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Personal spending went up 0.2% but rate of personal income increase stayed the same at 0.3% – stagflation in full swing
Peter Oberois
Oct. 29, 2006

The first indication of stagflation is when the consumers and common people (not the wealthy) has to start borrowing to maintain their standard of living. That is exactly what has happened in the last several years. The zero savings has turned into a negative savings or net borrowing – credit card, home equity loans and so on.

At 8.30 AM October 30, the personal income and spending report will show that stagflation has remained intact. As a matter of fact an analysis of the details of the report will show as borrowing peaks out, the stagflation is soon transforming into deflation-oriented recession.

The housing market collapse, the underemployment and overall mood of uncertainty are having deep effects on the economy.

While bond market will gain strength the stocks will have deep trouble in coming months.


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