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Oil is headed for a major meltdown but there are chances oil will eventually test its high within two years
Sam Adelton
Oct. 3, 2006

The oil traders are predicting crude oil will remain around $65 per barrel in 2007. However, they are normally wrong when the same concensus comes out together.
What is the most likely scenario?
Oil is headed for a major meltdown but there are chances oil will eventually test its high within two years. Oil can go down as low as $25 a barrel. The reason for such sharp loss is the hedge fund involvement. Like Amaranth it is possible that massive numbers of hedge funds are holding oil futures. If that is true these funds capitulate, liquidate and then push oil shraply lower.
However, after that any further collapse will be slow but steady. Once a major bottom is made, oil can again push up to test its highs based Chinese and Indian demand.
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