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How long can US consumers keeps spending with a full year behind them plagued with housing slowdown?
Ron Abelson
Oct. 2, 2006

70% of the economy is dependant on consumer spending and that has kept up inspite of housing slump.How long can US consumers keeps spending with a full year behind them plagued with housing slowdown?

According to economists and think tanks that specialize in consumer sentiment studies, falling gas price is a big factor. The other factor is the lower long term interests and highe stock prices in US.

The stock market is going in a strong bull trend since 2003. The pension funds are up. The gas prices in the pump stations are down somewhat. What is more significant is that the natural gas price is historically low. That gives extra money in the hand of consumers as winter approaches.

Another factor is the long bond teild rate. It has fallen from 5.2 to 4.6% in two months. Many now will convert their rising one year adjustable mortgage to a fixed mortgage and save a bundle. All thse are working against the falling home prices. It is tug of war between these positives and large draw down on vanishing home valuation levels.


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